Monday, January 19
Hiatus
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at
Monday, January 19, 2009
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I will be going on a holiday for the rest of this week so I won't be posting anything until next week.
Govt may tap reserves
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Kay
at
Monday, January 19, 2009
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Jan 19, 2009
Govt may tap reserves
Move may be necessary to fund aggressive relief measures in downturn
By Jeremy Au Yong, Political Correspondent
ONE of the country's sacred cows could be slaughtered during the Budget this Thursday as the Government mulls over a move to dip into Singapore's rainy-day savings: the national reserves.
The leaders are now considering the unprecedented step of drawing from the reserves to fund the aggressive pain-relief measures needed in this downturn, Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong disclosed yesterday.
'The issue which the Prime Minister and the Minister of Finance are now thinking over, is whether we should go to the President and ask him for approval to use the reserves for extraordinary measures,' he told reporters after giving out $100 hongbao and goodies to the poor in his Marine Parade constituency.
But he also cautioned: 'It's a difficult decision because once you do that, you may open the reserves for future demands, which may not justify the use of reserves.'
On Friday, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong had said the Budget will run into a deficit this year and if necessary the Government will dip into the reserves.
He told reporters: 'The Government's job is not to do everything which is asked for but to see which are the items which will be most effective and then how do I raise the money to fund all the things which I need to do, either from the Budget revenues this year or from the reserves.'
Last year, the Government had modified the rules to allow it to spend a larger chunk of investment returns from the reserves.
In 1999, in the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis, the Government had shied away from dipping into reserves, even in the face of a $5 billion Budget deficit. Mr Goh was the prime minister then.
Yesterday, however, he pointed out that a 'muscular response' in the upcoming Budget is needed as these are exceptional times - and the key issue is to save jobs.
'There must be exceptional measures for exceptional times,' he said.
He gave a sampling of the dire economic news coming in, noting the sharp dive in export figures last month. Singapore's exports plunged 21 per cent in December, the biggest fall in almost seven years. At PSA, 30 per cent of the cranes are sitting idle.
'The weather is so bad, and we've always said the reserves are for a rainy day. If this is not a rainy day, I don't know what is a rainy day,' he said.
Asked how much money the Government may take out of the reserves, he said the amount did not matter. What was important was that the measures justified the use of reserves.
The Government has a hefty war chest to turn to. The reserves include assets managed by the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC), as well as those owned by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and Temasek Holdings.
As of September last year (08), the MAS' foreign exchange reserves were valued at about $240 billion. GIC's portfolio is valued at well over US$100 billion (S$148 billion). Temasek Holdings' portfolio is worth $185 billion but its assets are not covered by the constitutional amendment on net investment returns.
MPs contacted gave mixed responses to unlocking the reserves.
Dr Muhammad Faishal Ibrahim (Marine Parade GRC) and Mr Liang Eng Hwa (Holland-Bukit Timah GRC) said they were in favour if the money was well spent. Mr Liang said using the money to build up the economy and workforce is akin to investing in a different asset.
Mrs Josephine Teo (Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC) however said she would rather wait first to see how bad the crisis gets.
'The conservative part of me says we really do not know how long this crisis is going to last. Will we risk running out of ammunition when we most need it?'
Financial analysts contacted backed any move to open up the war chest. That, they said, would spur a more aggressive Budget.
Said Dr Chua Hak Bin, Citigroup's head of Singapore equity research: 'We were concerned that the Budget was not going to be aggressive enough because of the constraint of having a balanced Budget.'
Nanyang Technological University economist Tan Khee Giap said that factoring in expenditure at the beginning was better than introducing off-Budget measures later. 'We should budget for the worst and hope for the best,' he said.
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Economy
Saturday, January 17
SGS: An alternative to fixed deposits
Posted by
Kay
at
Saturday, January 17, 2009
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This post is part of a series of posts that discuss about SGS in detail. To access the other posts in this series, click here.
As compared to SGS treasury bills and bonds, fixed deposits is the more widely known product that is known to carry very little or no risk. This is because most of us are aware that the Singapore Goverment currently guarantees the money that you deposit at the bank up to a certain amount. However, not many people know about SGS. SGS has some distinct advantages which makes it a superior form of investment over fixed deposits in its class that is suitable for conservative investors.
As compared to SGS treasury bills and bonds, fixed deposits is the more widely known product that is known to carry very little or no risk. This is because most of us are aware that the Singapore Goverment currently guarantees the money that you deposit at the bank up to a certain amount. However, not many people know about SGS. SGS has some distinct advantages which makes it a superior form of investment over fixed deposits in its class that is suitable for conservative investors.
1. Superior returns
SGS treasury bills and bonds are likely to offer a better rate of returns as compared to fixed deposits. I have attached a chart of the historical yield of SGS bonds with an average year to maturity of 2 years.
Chart taken from fundsupermart
If you take a closer look at the chart, you will realize that the yield for the SGS with an average year to maturity of 2 years.is rather attractive as compared to fixed deposits. Furthermore, the lowest yield for the SGS, which is slightly less than 1% is comparable than the yield offered by fixed deposits, which is generally below 1%. There were also instances where the yield of the SGS with an average year to maturity of 2 years is even greater than 3% and at its highest point, the yield has gone up to more than 4% before. This shows that generally, SGS treasury bills and bonds offer a better yield than fixed deposits.
2. No locked-in period
As compared to fixed deposits which has a locked-in period, SGS treasury bills and bonds have no locked-in period. You can always choose to sell your SGS treasury bills and bonds in the secondary market before maturity. However, since the price of SGS such as the treasury bills or bonds can fluctuate, there is a chance that you will make a small loss if the price that you sell your treasury bills or bonds is lower than your purchase price. If your selling price is higher than your purchase price, that will bring me to my new point.
3. Potential Gains
Since one is able to sell SGS treasury bills and bonds on the secondary market, if the selling price of your treasury bills or bonds is higher than your purchase price, you will be able to have some capital gains. However, the price of the SGS treasury bills and bonds are usually not so volatile, thus any capital gain is likely to be rather small.
As we can see, SGS treasury bills and bonds have a few distinct advantages over fixed deposits and one should seriously consider them over fixed deposits. In my next post, I will be covering on how one can go about in buying SGS treasury bills and bonds.
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SGS
Thursday, January 15
What is SGS ?
Posted by
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at
Thursday, January 15, 2009
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This post is part of a series of posts that discuss about the SGS in detail. To access the other posts in this series, click here.
So what is SGS ? SGS stands for Singapore Government Securities and they are marketable debt instruments issued by the Singapore Government. The link for the official website of the SGS can be found here. In other words, the government actually borrows money from you and will promise to return you your capital with some amount of interest after a agreed period of time.
What is so special about SGS as a form of investment ? The special feature about SGS is that it is a virtually risk-free investment. This is because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the Singapore Government. The Singapore Government has consistently run budget surpluses consistently over the years thus it has the ability to pay back debts. Furthermore, SGS are given the highest debt rating by various international rating agencies such as Moody's, Standard and Poor's and Fitch. As compared to fixed deposits, SGS generally gives a higher interest. Furthermore, fixed deposits have a locked-in period whereas you can always sell your SGS for cash on the market after buying them.
SGS are generally dividend into two categories. They are Treasury Bills which are more commonly known in short as T-bills, and Bonds.
Treasury Bills are short-term debts that have a maturity period of one year or less. It is being sold or bought at a discount to their face value which is $100. At the end of the maturity period, the Singapore Government will pay back the face value thus the interest is simply the difference between the purchase price and the face value.
For example, a Treasury Bill is being sold at $99.04 for a face value of $100 which the government will pay back to you at the end of the maturity period thus it is being sold at a discount to the face value. If you bought it at $99.04, at the end of the maturity period, you will receive back $100 and your profit will simply be $100 - $99.04 = $0.96. Thus your yield will be $0.96 / $100 * 100 = 0.96%. As such, the discount is actually the interest of the Treasury Bill.
Currently, the Singapore Government currently issues 3-month and 1 year Treasury Bill although 1 year Treasury Bill has been issued before and the minimum purchase amount is $1000. The 3-month Treasury Bill is being issued every week while the 1 year Treasury Bill is being issued twice a year.
Bonds are longer term debts that have a maturity period of more than one year. During the holding period of the bonds, the Singapore Government will give out the interest which is also known as coupon, twice annually with the payment dates six months apart from each other until the end of the maturity period. This is one of the main difference between Treasury Bills and Bonds. For Treasury Bills, the interest is given in the form of a discount to the face value of the Treasury Bills whereas for Bonds, the interest is given out in the form of coupons.
For example, you bought $1000 worth of a SGS Bond that has a yield which is also known as a coupon rate of 4% on a face value of $100 and it will mature on 1st March 2015. Every year, the total interest you will receive will be 4% * $1000 = $40. Since the coupons is being given out twice a year, you will receive $20 for each coupon payment which are six months apart until 1st March 2015.
What is so special about SGS as a form of investment ? The special feature about SGS is that it is a virtually risk-free investment. This is because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the Singapore Government. The Singapore Government has consistently run budget surpluses consistently over the years thus it has the ability to pay back debts. Furthermore, SGS are given the highest debt rating by various international rating agencies such as Moody's, Standard and Poor's and Fitch. As compared to fixed deposits, SGS generally gives a higher interest. Furthermore, fixed deposits have a locked-in period whereas you can always sell your SGS for cash on the market after buying them.
SGS are generally dividend into two categories. They are Treasury Bills which are more commonly known in short as T-bills, and Bonds.
Treasury Bills are short-term debts that have a maturity period of one year or less. It is being sold or bought at a discount to their face value which is $100. At the end of the maturity period, the Singapore Government will pay back the face value thus the interest is simply the difference between the purchase price and the face value.
For example, a Treasury Bill is being sold at $99.04 for a face value of $100 which the government will pay back to you at the end of the maturity period thus it is being sold at a discount to the face value. If you bought it at $99.04, at the end of the maturity period, you will receive back $100 and your profit will simply be $100 - $99.04 = $0.96. Thus your yield will be $0.96 / $100 * 100 = 0.96%. As such, the discount is actually the interest of the Treasury Bill.
Currently, the Singapore Government currently issues 3-month and 1 year Treasury Bill although 1 year Treasury Bill has been issued before and the minimum purchase amount is $1000. The 3-month Treasury Bill is being issued every week while the 1 year Treasury Bill is being issued twice a year.
Bonds are longer term debts that have a maturity period of more than one year. During the holding period of the bonds, the Singapore Government will give out the interest which is also known as coupon, twice annually with the payment dates six months apart from each other until the end of the maturity period. This is one of the main difference between Treasury Bills and Bonds. For Treasury Bills, the interest is given in the form of a discount to the face value of the Treasury Bills whereas for Bonds, the interest is given out in the form of coupons.
For example, you bought $1000 worth of a SGS Bond that has a yield which is also known as a coupon rate of 4% on a face value of $100 and it will mature on 1st March 2015. Every year, the total interest you will receive will be 4% * $1000 = $40. Since the coupons is being given out twice a year, you will receive $20 for each coupon payment which are six months apart until 1st March 2015.
If you wish to view a more detailed explanation on the SGS, you can download the guide by MAS here. In my next post, I will be doing a comparison between SGS and fixed deposits.
Labels:
SGS
UOL Group makes bid for UIC
Posted by
Kay
at
Thursday, January 15, 2009
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Reuters - Wednesday, January 14
SINGAPORE, Jan 14 - UOL Group, a property firm controlled by United Overseas Bank Chairman Wee Cho Yaw, on Wednesday offered to buy United Industrial Corp in a deal that values UIC around S$1.6 billion .
UOL, which currently controls 30.2 percent of UIC, will pay S$1.20 for every UIC share it does not own, according to a filing on the Singapore Exchange.
That represents a premium of 9.1 percent over UIC's last traded price of S$1.10 a share. The shares were suspended earlier Wednesday.
David Lum, an analyst at Daiwa Institute of Research, said it appeared UIC's major shareholders believed the company to be significantly undervalued.
"Do I see that happening in other companies? Yes. If you know the intrinsic value of your assets, which has been grossly undervalued in the market, you could acquire those assets," he said.
Shares in UIC, which is part-owned by the Wee family, have fallen from a 12-month high of S$3.17 in June last year.
UOL owns various properties in Singapore, Malaysia, China, Australia and Myanmar as well as the firm that manages the Pan Pacific hotel chain. Its current market capitalisation is around S$1.75 billion.
"As the principal activities of the UOL Group and the UIC Group are substantially the same, UOL is of the view that the offer represents an opportunity to better align the strategic objectives" of the two firms, UIC said in the filing.
UIC's main asset is its 72.4 percent stake in another listed company called Singapore Land, which owns various office and retail properties including Singapore's Marina Square shopping mall.
According to UOL, it will be required to make an offer for SingLand at S$3.57 a share if or when its offer for UIC becomes unconditional. SingLand shares were last traded at S$3.42 apiece.
UOL is being advised in its takeover bid by United Overseas Bank, DBS and ANZ. (Reporting by Kevin Lim and Saeed Azhar; Editing by Lincoln Feast)
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